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Showing posts from January, 2010

Trust Bank Singapore, New Digital Bank Freebies!

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February 1 Weekly Update - Stock Market Forecast

February 1 Weekly Update - Stock Market Forecast Fengshui : Market unlikely to see strength February 1 and 2. Financial Astrology : With Saturn Pluto square on Jan 31, will markets reverse short term trend or collapse in a serious free fall? Technical Analysis : US markets: Phase 3 down started with Wave 1 down. Minor Wave 1 down looks likely completed with 5 waves down. Next is minor Wave 2 up then minor Wave 3 down.

December Low Indicator Warning!

According to Stock Trader's Almanac: “Pay more attention to the December Low Indicator. If that low is violated during the first quarter of the New Year, watch out!” When the Dow closes below its December closing low in the first quarter, it is frequently an excellent warning sign. Dow closed below its December 2009 closing low of 10285.97 (Dec 8 09), triggering the dreaded December Low Indicator. Since 1950 when the December Low Indicator has triggered, the Dow has fallen an additional 10.9% on average. This was precisely the case the past two years with the Dow losing an additional 42.1% in 2008 and 17.6% in 2009 before surpassing the previous high. Excluding 2008’s drop, the largest of them, reduces the average subsequent drop to about 10% -- that would put the Dow at about 9155. The most prudent course of action is to refrain from major new purchases, tighten stops, take any sizable short term profits and assess the conditions at week’s end.

Next Bear Market Phase Starting: Prechter

( Extracts from Reuters Report January 25 2010) Prechter said: "We probably have begun the next phase of the bear market.” The next leg of a bear market in stocks has probably started and gold and corporate bonds are likely to slide as the U.S. economy suffers long-term weakness. The U.S. S&P 500 index has fallen about 5 percent since hitting a 15-month peak on January 19 as some investors started to worry about the possibility of a double-dip recession. Although many stock analysts expect a short term pullback of about 10 or 15 percent in U.S. stocks, Prechter, known for his bearish views, expects a steeper, longer term fall. For investors in equities, this is "the last chance to get out with the Dow in quintuple digits”, Prechter added. Now, along with stocks, corporate bonds are set to fall to lower levels than in the market panic of 2008, he said. NO GLITTER FOR GOLD? If deflation -- an environment in which prices of everything from houses, to cars, to wages ...

January 25 Weekly Update - Stock Market Forecast

January 25 Weekly Update - Stock Market Forecast Fengshui : Market likely to be volatile with strength Jan 25-27 then slow down rest of week. Financial Astrology : Market likely to be bearish with Saturn Pluto square ahead on Jan 31. Technical Analysis: US markets: Phase 3 down started with Wave 1 down. When subwave 3 down is complete, look for subwave 4 up then subwave 5 down. Alternate view: if decline is in 5 waves, likely bear market started. If decline is in 3 waves, likely Wave B up might be bigger.

Scary Voyage to C Bottom into 2014?

Wow! Have you read Bob Prechter's January Elliott Wave Theorist ? A scary forecast of what the rest of Supercycle Wave C might look like in the coming months and years! Coming months? Yes, he had called the top in Dow on January 14, 2010, ie Phase 3 down had started, but there is “or” in the statement. How Scary is the Forecast? Read January issue of Elliott Wave Theorist lor! Hahaha, I managed to get a peek into the Dow Chart Forecast posted by 2 bloggers (haha, second blogger followed with the post when he read the first blogger posting the chart!). So how Scary is it? Wave 3 down target 1000 in 2011? Wave 4 sideways above 1000 Wave 5 down below 500 in 2014? (Form is paramount, Price is approximate, time is least reliable) Have you read 17-Year Stock Market Cycle (US) ? What does your forecast look like?

17-Year Stock Market Cycle (US)

Remember the Kondratieff Cycle or K-Wave article I wrote in 2008? Oops! I forgot what I wrote! Now I have a better understanding and here's the update: Kondratieff Cycle is a 70-year cycle, comprising 4 seasons of average 17 years each. The US Stock Market is now in the 4 th Winter Season (2000-2020). Look at the K-Wave Dow Chart : do you notice the periods match closely with Mr Buffett's observation and forecast for 2000-2017? W.D. Gann said : “History repeats itself. The future is but a repetition of the past. Get past history, find out what cycle, then predict the curve for the future.” So now you have the Big Picture! Can you predict the curve for 2000-2017? Lookout for Part 3 if you want to see the answer!

January 18 Weekly Update - Stock Market Forecast

January 18 Weekly Update - Stock Market Forecast Fengshui : Market likely to slow down. Jan 20-22 likely volatile. Financial Astrology : Will markets continue to decline? Technical Analysis: US markets: Rally likely topped out and Wave C down might have started. What my Stock Market Time Clocks say? Jan 21 = 0.618 of time travelled from October 2007 top to March 9 2009. US market indices already hit 0.618 retracement. Has Time for rally run out? Elliott Wave Count Update: There are 2 camps: Wave B up already top out, next is Wave C down. Already hit 0.618 time on Jan 14 2010, price as well. Wave 4 down then wave 5 up before Wave B ends. Which Wave count is correct? Be careful not to be caught in the Bull Trap!

Most Important Investment Report of 2010

Free 13-page Report: Robert Prechter's firm Elliott Wave International has just released its annual "Most Important Report of 2010." Inside, Prechter delivers hard facts, eye-opening charts and straightforward commentary to help you take advantage of the opportunities – and avoid the dangerous pitfalls – that you will face in 2010. You'll get analysis and forecasts you can act on, and you'll learn what the government's unprecedented involvement in the financial markets will mean for your portfolio in 2010 and beyond. Learn more and download your free report now. . Please recall with me the prevailing investor sentiment from this time last year … U.S. stocks had been in strong decline for more than a year. Some of the most celebrated bulls had turned into bears, and the few bears that did exist before the downturn had become even more bearish. The Daily Sentiment Index for the S&P registered an astonishing 3 percent bulls -- virtually no one was betti...

Warren Buffett Forecast 17 Lean Years (2000-2017)

Wow! Warren Buffett knows and understands US Stock Market Cycles . I've attended a few talks about “Investing like Warren Buffet” but have never heard these speakers talk about US Stock Market Cycles mentioned by Warren Buffett. Are you a value investor like Mr Buffett? Do you know or understand Stock Market Cycles? Do you know the definition of “Investing”? Mr Buffett said “investing is laying out money today to receive more money tomorrow”. If the Stock Market is going nowhere for 17 years, are you investing if you buy and hold long long? Wah, more than 17 years, maybe! “Mr Buffett observed (reported in Fortune Magazine in 1999, 2001, 2002) that the Stock Market went practically nowhere between end of 1964 to 1981. Then it boomed from 1982 to 1999. Observing the cycle of 17 fat years and 17 lean years (Bible and Joseph Cycle state 7 years), Mr Buffett forecast that 17 years from 2000 to 2017 would likely be lean as well.” A handful of “Gann” experts had been ta...

Fengshui Outlook 2010 Year of Tiger

The Year of the Golden Tiger starts on February 4, 2010. This is the Yang Metal Tiger Year . Yang Metal over Yang Wood. Tiger = Yang Wood. Inside the Tiger, there is Wood, Fire and Earth elements. Tiger is the mother of Fire = Wood = seed of Fire. Unfortunately, Metal destroys Wood , so this is a destructive cycle and have conflict relationship. Although the Year of the Yang Metal Tiger starts on February 4, 2010, its energy is already here since November 2009, the Month of the Pig. The Pig is the good friend of the Tiger, so the Tiger “energy” or influences came here earlier. What happened in November and December 2009 will likely reflect what's going to happen in the Year of the Tiger 2010. So what major events occurred during this period? Serious traffic accidents: Tiger Wood car crash; Bomb caused Russian derailment. Fire & explosions: China coal mine blast; Russian fire, Russian arsenal explosions. War: Naval between North and South Korea; Obama to send ...

January 11 Weekly Update - Stock Market Forecast

January 11 Weekly Update - Stock Market Forecast Fengshui : Market likely to be weak and volatile, except Jan 14 and 15. Financial Astrology : Will markets reverse this week? Watch these dates: Jan 13 – Saturn retrograde Jan 15 – Solar Eclipse, Mercury turn direct. Will this Solar Eclipse affect China? Technical Analysis: US markets: Expect big moves coming. Will it be up or down? This week is US options expirations week. While expirations weeks tend to be positive, that is not the pattern for the expirations week in January. The Stock Traders Almanac notes that “January Expiration weeks down big 8 of last 11 years”, and expiration day (Friday) “Expiration Day Dow down 9 of last 11 with some big losses”.

W.D. Gann's Secrets Unveiled?

It is said that W.D. Gann's books and courses are written in a veiled language, like the way the Bible is written. “ When you read it the third time, a new light will dawn. You will find the hidden secret, the veiled meaning and will understand why the Bible says “Seek and ye shall find, knock and it shall be opened unto you.” “Happy is the man that findeth wisdom, and the man that getteth understanding.” “Every movement in the market is the result of a natural law and a Cause which exists long before the Effect takes place and can be determined years in advance." History repeats itself. “The future is but a repetition of the past” is found in the Bible. If we can know the future, is it of value to us? “Forewarned is forearmed!” “ Get past history, find out what cycle, then predict the curve for the future.” “ Find the correct starting point, and know the cycle which is going to be repeated. Begin right, the right beginning will get the right ending.” “ Time is t...

January 2010 Stock Market Forecast (Part2)

J anuary 5 to February 3, 2010 Fengshui Analysis : This is the Yin Fire Ox Month. First half likely to see strength and volatility while second half likely to be weak. Technical Analysis: US Market: There is possibility S&P will rise sharply toward 1200. However, there are bearish forces which might stop this rally. A decisive break below 1120 would signal this rally is likely over. Financial Astrology: Read January 2010 Stock Market Forecast - Part 1

January 2010 Stock Market Forecast

Let's watch the Sky for Trends! Jan 13 - Saturn retrograde Jan 15 – New Moon, Annular Solar Eclipse, Mercury direct Jan 17 – Jupiter enters Pisces Jan 29 – Sun Mars Opposition Jan 30 – Sun oppose Full Moon Jan 31 - Saturn Pluto Square Summary: First 15 days may be confusing with Mercury retrograde. Middle and End of month bearish Lookout for Part 2 - Forecast using Fengshui and Technical Analysis

January 4 Weekly Update - Stock Market Forecast

January 4 Weekly Update - Stock Market Forecast Fengshui : Market likely to see strength, except Jan 8 2010. Financial Astrology : Have markets topped out last week? Will it continue to decline this week? Expect volatility and negativity, with confusing signals since Mercury is retrograde. Technical Analysis: US Markets: Where are stocks headed next? With volume expected to be back to normal this week, we should have the answer. Downside risk is high. Lookout for January 2010 Stock Market Forecast – coming soon! January 5, 2010 to February 3, 2010 is the last month in the Year of the OX. Will it be bullish or bearish?

Stock Market Outlook 2010 (Part 2)

Extracts from an article posted by a US Market Timing Expert on Dec 31, 2009: 2009 was one of the rare years when seasonal patterns did not appear. Investors may be surprised how aggressively the seasonal pattern bounces back in 2010. Remember the Four-Year Presidential Cycle ? The history of the Presidential Cycle: the economy and stock market tend to have problems in the first 2 years of each new president’s term, and then recover and be robust over the last 2 years of the term. The Cycle has a very consistent pattern in the President's first term. For instance, almost all bear markets have taken place in the first 2 years of the Presidential Cycle, and almost all recoveries have been underway in the last 2 years of the Cycle. So what does that mean for 2010, when we have a President in his first term and 2010 will be the second year in this Presidential Cycle? There will still be economic problems, in the real estate sector when the program of big tax rebates to home ...