S. M. A. R. T. Investing with TSK

I like these comic cartoon illustrations about the stock market. 1. To beat the market or survive, we must make the Trend our friend. Be a Bull when the trend is up. Be a Bear when the trend is down. Be a Chameleon! 2. Let the Big Bulls and Big Bears fight it out! 3. Have good foresight, tighten our seat belts and take the big roller coaster rides to beat the market! But remember when one should alight! 4. Don't fall into the Bull Traps or Bear Traps (depends how you view it)! 5. Don't buy on breakout 6. Don't try to catch the bottom! 7. Will there be a Second Great Depression? 8. Be a short term investor for now! Happy New Year! 2009

A Financial Astrology market timing expert was interviewed recently. Yes, FA experts watch the skies for trends! Sees economy teetering between Camelot and Armageddon in 2009. Stars warned of economic meltdown as early as 1994 because Saturn, Uranus and Plato were aligned in the same pattern as the Great Depression from now until 2012. Planetary arrangements similar to that in 1929 to 1934. Just completed first leg down in a new bear market. We will now recover. Then we will have another powerful leg down following that. Wow, very similar to my Stock Market Forecast 2009 – Yin Earth Ox !

My Stock Market Masters are on holiday, so Stock Market Forecast - December 29 Weekly Update will be delayed. How will the S&P500, DOW and STI Charts for 1Q2009 look like? There are many research comparing 2008 to 1929. My Fengshui Master said the 5 elements of 2009 are very similar to 1929. So, we shall take a look at the following graphical comparison of the stock market crash of 2000 - 2008 to crashes in 1990 and 1929. Hmm... very eerie right? The chart shows the 1929 (Dow Jones index / US), 1990 (Nikkei index / Japan) and 2000 - 2008 (AEX index / Europe) stock market crashes, and the pattern is always the same: Bubble / Boom: stocks rise more than 350% in 6 years. Crash / Bust: market falls more than 50% in 3 years. Aftermath: markets are volatile for at least 10 years, and they end where they began. Human nature does not change overtime. Greed and fear drives the market. Investors behave the same in the US, Japan and Europe. And there is no "this time it's different...

How will the S&P 500 and STI Charts for 2009 look like? S&P 500 Chart 2009: 1. From Jan 1989 to Oct 2007 (275 to 1576), the 50% Fibonacci support at 910 had been broken and now become resistance. 2. S&P 500 likely to rebound in next 2 months. If break above 910, then likely to test the 38.2% Fibonacci resistance at 1058. 3. After which, the market is likely to form a small knoll and continue its fall. STI Chart 2009: 1. STI will most likely follow suite, form a knoll before continuing its free-fall again. 2. If break above 61.8% Fibonacci resistance at 1970, then likely to test 50% Fibonacci resistance level (2350). 3. A head-and-shoulder pattern could be on the cards. (Above are key points from article written by Xavier Lim in Share Investments Guide, December 19, 2008) I agree with this Big Picture Chart since it is in sync with my Stock Market Forecast 2009 – Yin Earth Ox ! How would the Charts look like from now to First Quarter 2009 ? Lookout for my future articles!

Historically, the market has done much better the day after Christmas than the day before. Since 1980, the Dow has averaged a gain of 0.16% on Christmas Eve, with gains 56% of the time. On December 26, the index has averaged a gain of 0.31%, with gains 81% of the time. In the 2000s, December 26 has been very strong, with gains 83% of the time. (Source: B.I.G.) So, will Dow be very strong tonight? Tomorrow is new moon. Will US indices rally into the moon?

Santa Claus called me on Monday morning inviting me to attend a 90 minutes presentation. I'll be rewarded for spending the time with them. The rewards sounded too good to be true. I remembered a similar call I received last year which I turned down. Then I thought why not give them a chance, I only have to sacrifice 90 minutes of my time, without obligations. So, yesterday afternoon I went to meet them. After 120 minutes, I said NO to the offer of the membership package. It's like a holiday package type of membership club. Ha ha, guess you know me by now. I'm only interested in investing on assets, not acquiring liabilities! Ho ho ho! Guess what Santa Claus gave to me for Christmas? 1. 4 days 3 nights holiday in Bangkok, Pattaya or Phuket Voucher – airtickets & accommodation for two persons. Wow! Too good to believe? 2. Set Dinner for Two at Thai Restaurant. 3. Voucher for Free Water Dispenser worth $1800 – hmm... there's a hidden cost! 4. Spa Voucher worth $180 –...

Three Astro Market Timing Experts predict a possible test of the lows before January 20, 2009: 1. Something might happen and might send US Markets below 2008 lows before January 20, 2009. 2. Multi-months low might come between January 8 and January 14, 2009. 3. Possible test of the lows or worst in December 2008 or January 2009. So, be careful. Hmm.... if it happens, that would be the best buying opportunity to ride this Multi-Month Bear Market Rally!

December 22 Weekly Update - Stock Market Forecast Fengshui : Market likely to have strength except for Friday. Astrology : A positive week. Technical Analysis : US indices – indecision Monday, sign of topping out. US – potential market-moving reports on Monday and Tuesday.

The table below shows S&P 500's performance during option expiration weeks since 2006 (Source B.I.G.). Note the following: 1. Wednesdays - the only day with averaged negative returns, most volatile with an average change of +/- 1.25%. 2. Fridays - recently with averaged move of less than 1% up or down (0.95%), with highest average gain of 0.34%. 3. For 2008 – 7 of 11 Wednesdays were negative, 8 of 11 Thursdays were positive and 7 of 10 Fridays were positive. If Wednesday is going to be negative (now at 9pm Wednesday night my time, Dow futures is negative), will Thursday and Friday be positive? Hmm... guess what I'm thinking?

Hopefully, Mr Market doesn't send us this Holiday Card again in 2009! (Source: B.I.G.)

Daryl Guppy wrote about consolidation patterns on CNBC website yesterday, using Singapore's Straits Times Index (STI) as example to explain. A summary of key points below: Many of the major Asian Regional Indices are in consolidation as reflected in the developing chart patterns. STI is also in consolidation mode. STI Chart Pattern shows a symmetrical triangle which indicates market indecision (see diagram). 1. The rising trendline , from near 1,450 with a series of rising lows, shows that buyers are more aggressively moving into the market. Buyers wait for falling prices and when the bargain price is irresistible, they re-enter the market. Buyers are becoming more optimistic. 2. The downtrend line shows stockholders who have a different opinion. As prices rise, stockholders sell into the market, worried that prices might continue to weaken. 3. The market can develop an explosive breakout in either direction. This breakout is usually in response to a significant news event. Its a...

My nephew found another website offering free movies and dramas. Wow! There are latest Hong Kong, Taiwanese, Japanese and Korean Movies and Dramas! I like to watch the Hong Kong Dramas. Wow! Can go on marathon watch! Enjoy! It's MySoju.Com

I received an invitation to join Valued Opinions . Upon signing up, I get a chance to win an iPod nano. Periodically, I will receive email invitations to participate in online surveys which I will earn rewards. Rewards can be redeemed for vouchers from Giant, Cold Storage, 7-eleven, Guardian or Starbucks. It's free, why not?

December 15 Weekly Update - Stock Market Forecast Fengshui : Markets unlikely to see strength except for Friday. Astrology : Week might end positive. Technical Analysis : US indices – might decline Monday. Expect Dow to drop towards 8200+/-, followed by rally till near calendar month end. US - Another week of quite heavy schedule of market moving economic reports. Expect volatility during week, Friday being quadruple-witching options expiration day.

The Bad News: World Bank said Singapore's economic growth will be weak going into 2009. The economy could bottom out in the third quarter. It expects Singapore to be one of the worst hit in the region given the small and open economy. The Good News: Mr Market always look forward , 6-9 months ahead of the economy. So expect Mr Market to rally from now? Expect a multi-month rally as forecasted in my December 2008 Stock Market Forecast and Stock Market Forecast 2009 ? Ho ho ho, Santa Claus is coming early to town!

“The S&P 500 finally had its first 20% + rally in 408 days. Which means we're currently in a bull market by standard definition (20% rally preceded by a 20% decline). The bear market from 10/9/07 to 11/20/08 is the third worst ever with a decline of 51.93%. The bears that ended in June 1932 (-61.81%) and March 1938 (-54.47%) are the only two that had bigger declines without a rally of 20%.” Source: B.I.G. Remember what I wrote in the December 2008 Stock Market Forecast ? Hurray! It is confirmed with DOW and S&P 500 breaking out of 8900 and 890. The multi-month bear market rally started on November 21, 2008! But volatility is here to stay. Remember the Buy/Sell rules ? Let's make money. Mr Bull came early! I mean Year of the OX. But remember, it is only a bear market rally, not a new bull market hor. Remember hor. Read Stock Picks 1 , Stock Picks 2 , Stock Picks 3 , Stock Picks 4 , Stock Picks 5 A January 2009 test of lows ?

What is the Forecast for Gold by my FA and TA Masters? Gold might drop to 600-650 range. If this level holds, then can expect a Gold rally. I'm waiting to buy Gold. Some experts recommend it is good to hold some gold in view of the economic downturn, although there is no place to hide. Cash is still King with best returns over the long term.

Will we test the lows in December 2008? According to one FA (Financial Astrology) Master: 1. Moons are very good at marking turns within a few days when the markets get very emotional and volatile like now. 2. Full Moons are statistically lows but this one is a special case which only occur every 40 years or so. This one is the most powerful in over a hundred years. 3. Possible weakness early this week that rebounds into the December 15th Full Moon. 4. New Moons are normally highs, so expect December 27th New Moon to be a high. Let's watch the Moons for possible guidance!

December 7 2008 to January 4 2009 Fengshui : Yang Wood Rat. Equity Markets should see strength in first half. Favourable industries/sectors : Fire, Wood, Earth. Financial Astrology : Middle of month near December 12 a little negative, last week of calendar month is positive. Be cautious in long term bearish market. Technical Analysis : US Indices – If Dow can break 8900 and S&P 500 can break 890, likely to see a multi-month bear market rally ahead. Pattern or extent of rally yet to be confirmed. Be careful in view of differing views from the 3 Masters (Fengshui, FA and TA). Maybe markets likely to test last low before staging a rally. Think capital preservation. Protect against downside risk. Will we get a Santa Claus Rally? Lookout for Weekly Updates!

December 8 Weekly Update - Stock Market Forecast Fengshui : Markets unlikely to see strength except for December 8 and 12. Astrology : A sudden and shocking event might cause equity markets plunging around December 10 to 15. Technical Analysis : US indices – might decline Monday, rest of week depends on whether the indices can breakout of trading channel.

How high can STI go in the Bear Market Rally ahead? That depends on how low STI can go now. So how low can STI go? Have you read Daryl Guppy's article dated December 3, 2008? Key points are: Current consolidation attempt with rebound from near 1500 has no historical foundation High probability STI will test support at 1300 Traders wait for test of support between 1250 and 1300 Then rebound rally with upside target near 1800 Rise above 1800, expect rise towards 2220. Low probability outcome Wow! That's the bad news and good news! How accurate is he? Me, no idea! But my BMI shows a possible low of 1430 and high of 2050. These are dynamic indicators hor. Also depends on Lao Ta = Mr Dow! So, what about Dow? Daryl said recession support is 7500 while depression support is 5300. So, be patient. Think Capital Preservation! Wait for Mr Market to call the bottom!

Possible Bear Market Rally Ahead will likely be very volatile. Barring unforeseen circumstances, stocks should rally over a longer time period. How long? Let you know later. What unforeseen circumstances might occur during this Bear Market Rally? Never know man. War, terrorist attack, another Bear Stearns or Lehman case, epidemic or ??? So we need to protect against downside risk while riding the rally before Mr Market decides to make a u-turn - down again. How? Pyramid Buying Inverted Pyramid Selling Buy on dips Sell before rally ends So how long will this Bear Market Rally Ahead likely to last?

Will I invest in Unit Trust in this Bear Market Rally Ahead? Hmm... I shall not take too much risk: Higher cost of investing in Unit Trust – outfront fees Difficult to time entry – price disadvantage Difficult to exit on time – price disadvantage As it is difficult to control, I cannot manage my risk effectively since this market still has so much uncertainty and volatility. Volatility is expected even in the Bear Market Rally Ahead. I plan to invest my CPF and SRS funds = my retirement funds. So it must be in safe investments which I can control and manage. I intend to invest in STI ETF funds = capital appreciation and dividend income, in the Bear Market Rally Ahead. With appropriate investing/trading rules , it should be a wise investment to me. What investing/trading rules should I adopt in this Bear Market Rally Ahead?

Think Capital Preservation. Focus on protecting against downside risk. That's the focus of my Big Picture Approach ! 2 weeks ago, I warned my blog email subscribers not to buy too early in case the stock market crash will be bad over the next 3 weeks. This week is the final week of the Yin Water Pig Month, November 2008 . Looks like the water energy is still strong and back to kill the fire in the stock market. When will the Bear Market Rally Ahead be? Patience is key when markets are moving down. Still some confirmation needed. Maybe after the next test of last "bottom" or low? If it holds, then ... I'm hoping markets will drop to test last "bottom" or low, then maybe time to enter if it holds. Be patient.

Todate, my blog has 56% Global Visitors (28% US) and 44% Singapore. Hmm.. I shall share one important tip which should be of interest to my Global Visitors. I have 3 categories of experts in my S.M.A.R.T. List , which I will now call them Fengshui Masters, TA Masters (Technical Analysis), and FA Masters (Financial Astrology). One of my TA Masters had been providing very accurate US stock market forecasts for the past 4 months. And his Forecast for 2009 for S&P500 and DOW is in sync with my Fengshui Masters' forecast . He uses Elliott Wave, Fibonacci Ratios and many other indicators. Interested to learn more about Elliott Wave? There are 2 free online courses – crash course and 10 lessons from EWI. Me? My "CPU" has limited capacity. I prefer to tap on the work of my S.M.A.R.T. List and continue my search for more and better Global Masters. But I'll share with you about my views on Elliott Wave and Fibonacci Ratios in future.

December 01 Weekly Update - Stock Market Forecast Fengshui : Uncertain and volatile Astrology: Volatile and average week Technical Analysis : US indices – might decline Monday, some possible upside This week, US has a heavy schedule of potential market moving economic reports. Be careful.

Did you read 2 very interesting articles which appeared in yesterday's Business Times? Read my comments in blue. First Article - Asian markets to see 2009 rebound: S&P "We suspect that first-quarter 2009 is likely to reveal ugly corporate performances and this may dampen sentiment in first-half 2009. With economic growth anticipated to rebound in second-half 2009, we believe that equities are likely to have a strong fourth-quarter 2009 as the recovery becomes apparent and investors begin to re-rate stocks upward.” Hey, Mr Market always look ahead about 6-9 months, so how would the stock market perform in the first half of 2009? And if later the economy is not expected to recover so soon, what would happen to the stock market in the second half? Read my Stock Market Forecast 2009 - Yin Earth Ox ! Second Article: What might 2009 hold for Stocks? Summary of key points and my comments: If most experts agree that a recovery will occur in second half of 2009, the writer say buy ...

If you have been following my blog since I started end July 2008 or have read all my blog articles, I guess you already know my Approach to Beat the Market . My objective is to make money by focusing on the Big Picture . Me no value investor or long term investor if the Big Picture is no good. How do I know what's the Big Picture? I got my Crystal Ball to look into the future. Read: 1. Stock Market Forecast for Next 8 Years 2. Stock Market Forecast 2009 - Yin Earth Ox I use Fengshui for Risk Management and Market Timing . I'll only enter/exit based on Fengshui Forecast. So my Stock Pick Tips are only good for the Possible Bear Market Rally Ahead. When the Rally is over, we must exit all stocks, before the Big Bear Comes Back from Hibernation ! More tips & considerations? Read Stock Picks 1 , Stock Picks 2 , Stock Picks 4 , Stock Picks 5

So what are my criteria for stock picks to ride the Possible Bear Market Rally Ahead? 1. Fengshui Forecast - the best sector/industry which is likely to perform well in the next few months is Wood Industries – See Stock Market Forecast 2009 – Yin Earth Ox . The best category is Agriculture . I'm going for it. 2. Technical Analysis – some of my expert in S.M.A.R.T. List forecast that Oil is likely to rebound in the next few months. So, I'm might be looking at oil-related counters such as oil-rig business . 3. Only a Bear Market Rally – focus on STI component stocks , ie the blue chips for item 1 & 2. Any other tips and considerations? Hmm... Lookout for Part 3 lor! Read Stock Picks 1 , Stock Picks 3 , Stock Picks 4 , Stock Picks 5

Don't miss the Ox-portunity to make money when the Bear Market Rally comes! I'm getting ready to charge and ride on this Ox-portunity to ring in an Ox-picious Chinese New Year! Are you ready? Have you done your homework? Have you done your stock picks? What is your stock pick criteria? Oh, I have not shared with you another secret on my BMI . My BMI has a twin indicator. It also indicates how high the STI or the stock might go. This is one of my criteria for stock picks. I'll be focus this time: limit the number of stocks I'll hold or trade. When will the bear market rally come? Read Stock Picks 2 , Stock Picks 3 , Stock Picks 4 , Stock Picks 5

November 24 Weekly Update - Stock Market Forecast Fengshui : Unlikely to see strength Astrology : Market continues to be volatile Technical Analysis : US indices – might decline further This is shortened week for US market with quite a heavy schedule of important reports. Friday is a new moon. Will we continue to see rolling bottoms?

According to the Stock Trader's Almanac, just staying invested in the stock market for the best six months and then switching into fixed income for the other six months had produced reliable returns with reduced risk since 1950. Wow! So which is the best six-month period of the year? Yes! November to April. Remember “ Sell in May and go away! ” So how do I decide when to enter and exit during this best six-month period? 1. Use the MACD signal. 2. Starting in Oct, monitor and wait for the MACD to turn positive, then enter the next day. 3. Starting in April, monitor and wait for the MACD to turn negative, then exit the next day. 4. If the market is down trending, entry is usually delayed until the market turns up, while exit point can come a month earlier. In 2007, the MACD turned positive on November 28, 2007 for S&P 500. 5. Use the MACD signals only to enter and exit as the market's favourable (October/November) and unfavourable (April/May) seasons approach. All other MACD ...

Having a better understanding of stock market dynamics should help increase the probability of winning the game? What games do stock traders and investors play? Daryl Guppy shared his views in an article published on CNBC website on Tuesday, November 18 2008, key points are: Traders and investors are constantly playing games in the market. Market volume is a record of such activities. Careful analysis of the relationship between price and volume tells us which game is in play. What games are out there? Pump & Dump : This is where desperate individuals play bully with a small stock and use small volume trades to “pump up” price. This price rise is irresistible to other traders and they buy in the hope the price rise will continue. They are tagged when the price manipulator “dump” or pulls out of the market. Hide and Seek : This is when an investor tries to build a large position in a stock without causing the price to rise. Catch that Rally : This is when investors capture a short b...

Since Fengshui is my best risk management and market timing tool , Fengshui Forecast for 2009 will be featured in my Crystal Ball – Stock Market Forecast 2009: Stock Market Forecast 2009 - Yin Earth Ox Year 2009 is Yin Earth Ox Year or Ji Chou Year, with earth on top of earth or pure earth elements. It starts on February 4, 2009, ends on January 4, 2010. In general, earth will bring the mood of worry or meditation. So investors will be more cautious and practical. So 2009 will be a year of continual cooling down, showing signs of more stability and calmness. Despite the absence of fire element, the spring and summer months still show strong wood and fire influences bringing a steady upward trend in the stock market. In summary: First half will be better than second half Favourable Industries/Sectors = Wood, Metal Wood Industries/Sectors: eg. Agriculture, education, fashion, textile, furniture, publications, paper, media, newspaper and magazines, w...

PM Lee had announced that the Government's Budget Statement, traditionally delivered in late February, will be unveiled a month earlier, before the Chinese New Year which falls on January 26, 2009. Will this make the stock market rally in January and February 2009, so we all can “Huat Ah” all the way into Chinese New Year? Hahaha, Gong Xi Fa Cai! Cai Yuan Kun Kun Lai! Also, did you notice that many analysts are forecasting a possible economic recovery in second half of 2009? As stock market is usually 6 to 9 months ahead of the economic cycle, will the stock market start to rally before then? I dun think the global economy will recover so soon. Even PM Lee said “We are already in recession and we expect a 'U-shaped' recovery with a fat 'U'. At the same time, we must be ready for more surprises.” He reckoned that the recession would last a year but beyond that there could be several years of slow growth before things get back on track. (source Business Times Nov 17, ...

November 17 Weekly Update - Stock Market Forecast Fengshui: First half weak, second half some possible strength Astrology: Volatile , expect huge price swing near end of week Technical Analysis: US indices – decline likely to resume, possible change late week. This week is options expiration week for US market. Weekly patterns indicate it is normally a positive week. Stock market crash is defined as a drop of 15%. US indices already dropped more than 15% post- election. We already witnessed a mini crash. Will the stock market crash continue for the next 3 weeks? Based on Fengshui, December starts on December 7, 2008.

Did you notice some stocks with bottoming signals ? Some brokers were reporting the same stocks with bottoming signals the past 2 weeks. Is it a sign that STI is bottoming out too? Beware that such chart patterns can fail. Beware of those reports which have business interest? Now STI might be trying to test the last low of 1474. Will it form a double bottom or will the last bottom be broken?

I managed to get a free copy of the Stock Trader's Almanac 2008 yesterday. Now I understand what this book is trying to say. It actually uses historical data to identify possible market trends or patterns by day, week, month, year and periods, etc and then predicts the possible market trend for the year. Below is a summary of the Forecast for 2009 that I found while surfing the internet. It ryhmes and riddles, so need to guess what it is trying to tell us hor! How the Markets Perform (Monthly Market Trends) "The following verses are excerpted from the beginning page of each month in the Stock Trader's Almanac 2009. Each verse offers insights on how markets have historically fared during each month of the year. October : October has killed many a bear. Buy tech stocks and soon wear a grin ear to ear. November : Astute investors always smile and remember. When stocks seasonally start soaring, and salute November. December : If Santa Claus should fail to call. Bears may come ...

I think it was about a month ago that I participated in this online survey by SharesInvestment.com. I thought it was a lucky draw type of survey, so did not blog about it. I was surprised to receive a Pair of Movie Tickets for participation in the survey. So it was every participation gets rewarded! Ha ha, I can take my mum for free movie liao! The tickets are valid for one year, so I can wait for good chinese movie to come, which my mum will like lor!

Kondratieff Cycle also known as K-Wave has a 60-year cycle, divided into 4 seasons of 15 years each. The 4 seasons can be associated with the 4 phases of the Economic Cycle and can be mapped into the Stock Market Cycle. Look at the chart below (left). We are now in the Winter Season, similar to 1929-1949 period! And if we convert the DOW chart to Gold$ mapped into the K-Wave, looks like there is more room to fall! See chart below (right). (Source: the longwaveanalyst)

How will the Dow or STI Chart for 2009 look like? My forecast, this is a possible preview of the Chart for 2009. It is the weekly Dow chart for 1929 to 1930. (click on image to zoom out) "The significant features are: The rapid fall is followed by a rebound and rebound failure; The primary rebound failure occurs rapidly with another market collapse; The pile driver low is retested within 12 months; Support, defined by the pile driver low, is not successful. The low of the market develops in 1932, about three years after the 1929 crash. The key trigger is the failure of support set by the pile driver low. The disaster is that it takes 25 years for the market to exceed the high of 380 set in July 1929. This is why the Depression is referred to as a generational event. The current situation has the potential to have the same generational impact.” Where is Dow or STI heading now? "The pink circle shows the comparable position of today’s market. This is a period of high volatility...

Will US and the Global Economy be in a Recession or Depression? The stock market can give the clue? How? Look at the Chart patterns! Below comments were extracted from Daryl Guppy's Article published in CNBC website yesterday: 1. “A recession is an economic slowdown that may last for 6 to 18 months. A depression is an economic pullback that may last from two to four years.” 2. “In a recession, the market will develop strong trending behavior many months prior to the official confirmation of the end of a recession. This recovery provides trend trading opportunities. In a depression the market will develop a long-term consolidation pattern. This is an investment period that lays the foundations for generational fortunes. Trend-trading opportunities do not develop for several years. This consolidation and accumulation phase concentrates on creating income flow from dividends. The fundamental end of a depression is not recognized until many months after the market has already reacted. ...

Still remember the new SGX product I mentioned in August 2008 Article “ ETF, Alternative to Stock Picks ” ? Yes, finally, Singapore Exchange Limited (SGX) announced on November 5, 2008 that it will launch Extended Settlement (ES) Contracts on 23 January 2009, previously referred to as Single Stock Derivatives (SSDs). ES Contract is a forward contract traded on the SGX Securities Market: Can Buy or Short Sell the underlying stock listed on SGX Can settle up to 35 days later No finance charge. Looks like better than trading warrants or CFD – no time decay, no finance charge, more price transparency (not controlled by market maker). Best of all, can short sell, can profit from Bear Markets. Hope it includes STI ETF, then I can short sell lor! I'm going to attend the free seminar to find out more. Interested? Register online at SGX (seems there is some problem with the system, so I register via email)

Using the Moon as Market Timing Indicator? Yes, Trading with the Moons. "You can buy Full Moons and sell New Moons, just like you can buy in November and sell in May. The Moons can be used as a guide to mark market turns when the markets get very emotional and volatile. Full Moons are statistically lows.” November 13 is Full Moon (my lunar calendar marks November 12th as full moon) "This was the 79th year anniversary of the final November 13th low of the October 29, 1929 crash. If we see a deep low near this Full Moon of November 13th, then the next New Moon of November 27th will most likely be a high. But if we do not see enough selling by the Full Moon, we may continue to decline towards the New Moon as well.” Above quotes taken from one astro expert. Let's watch the market, see if Trading with the Moons work with Singapore Stock Market. Oh, today is 11/11/08, what can happen?

November 10 Weekly Update - Stock Market Forecast Fengshui : Some strength but volatile Astrology : Volatile, likely to move sideways Technical Analysis : US indices – stocks might fall Monday, likely move sideway then decline. November 2008 Monthly Stock Market Forecast – Technical Analysis had been updated. Be careful, likely Stock Market Crash in November . Read the Updated November 2008 Stock Market Forecast . November 13 is the 79th anniversary of the Oct 29, 1929 Stock Market Crash. Remember it was the post crash low – see A replay of 1929 Stock Market Crash . Will it be the low for 2008? Or will the low occur in December 2008, tracking the history of 1987 Stock Market Crash?

One source said Commodity & Oil has a 30-Year Cycle: 10 years up + 20 years down = 30-Year Cycle History of Highs: 1860, 1890, 1920, 1950, 1980 and 2010? So, is Commodity & Oil still in Bull Run? Will it top out in 2010? Is it safe to invest in Commodity & Oil related stocks?

Who say Stock Market Crash cannot be predicted? We witnessed the worst Stock Market Crash in 2008, Black October, that was forecasted here ! How did I do it? Oops, I mean how my expert resources ( S.M.A.R.T. List ) did it? Fengshui has a “crystal ball” to see the stock market direction based on the 5 elements. Financial Astrology has a “crystal ball” to see the stock market direction based on planetary arrangements. Technical Experts have a “crystal ball” to see the stock market direction based on effective technical indicators, chart patterns, elliott wave and fibonacci. And not forgetting the Hindenburg Omen ! The Art of Foresight – the # 1 Secret Ingredient of Success! Get Early Warnings, Get Confidence to Take Wise Risks, Preserve and Grow Wealth through Foresight!

Interested to know the Stock Market Forecast for December 2008 early? What about January 2009? Ok, if there is sufficient interest, I might consider working on it and sending such Stock Market Forecast out early via email. An additional bonus – Sector and Stock Picks which is most critical to ride Bear Market Rallies! All these will not be published in my blog. You can register your interest and support for my effort via Get Email Updates (on right sidebar) and joining the Free EWI Club (on right sidebar below Get Email Updates). I'm a EWI Club member and the best benefit from this Free Membership is when EWI declares a Free Week. Then I can access the Subscriber's Area for Free during that Free Week. The rest of the freebies you already know lor. Good stuff that give Foresight as I see it! Thank you for your continued support. (Updated Nov 17 - offer had lapsed)

Read this article by Dr Doom (Nouriel Roubini) published on Nov 4, 2008, “The Rising Risk of Hard Landing in China: The Two Engines of Global Growth – U.S. and China – are Now Stalling”. Key points in the conclusion are: Risk of a hard landing in China sharply rising Global economy already headed towards a global recession U.S. contraction now dramatically accelerating First engine of global growth – the U.S. on the consumption side – now already shut down Second engine of global growth – China on the production side – on its way to stalling With 2 main engines of global growth now in serious trouble, a global hard landing now almost certainty Hard landing in China have severe effects on growth in emerging market economies in Asia, Africa and Latin America as Chinese demand for raw materials and intermediate inputs has been a major source of economic growth for emerging markets and commodity exporters Recent sharp fall in commodity prices and near collapse of Baltic Freight index are...

November 7 to December 6, 2008 Fengshui : Yin Water Pig Month. Pig is a water element. So, water energy is extremely strong this month, that is the biggest enemy of the stock market. Water extinguishes Fire, so expect further stock market correction. Favourable industries/sectors : earth, wood and water. Financial Astrology : Market likely to rebound in second half (calendar month). Be cautious in long term bearish market. Technical Analysis : US Indices – Uncertainties in technical indicators. Stock can either crash in next few weeks or move higher. (Updated Nov 9 - likely stock market crash in next few weeks, might break Oct 10 low, if break 7882 then 7197 might be tested) Now, that's the problem with technical analysis – uncertainties in forecasting the short term direction. That's why I decided to look for alternatives and found Fengshui and Financial Astrology. Anyway, lookout for November 10 Weekly Update, hopefully directions would be clear. Read Dow Direction After Pres...

2008 was the worst in history! It is the fourth time that Dow had lost more than 1% the day after a Presidential Election Day, since 1900 and the worst in % terms. Coincidentally, all the other 3 times occurred during the Great Depression and won by Democrat. And how did Dow performed for the rest of the year in those 3 situations? 1932 -4.51% day after, -2.82% rest of year 1940 -2.39% day after, -0.64% rest of year 1948 -3.85% day after, -2.83% rest of year 2008 -5.05% day after, ??? (Source: B.I.G.) What do you think will happen to Dow for rest of 2008? Will history repeat? What do you think will happen to Dow after that?

Do you read the daily Chinese Newspaper Zaobao ? Err.. my chinese not very good, words too chim I dun understand. But can roughly figure out what it is talking, at least can recognise the numbers lor. Recently, my sister informed me there are technical analysis articles in Zaobao . So I try to follow, reading online, looking for English Headlines then switch to read the detailed Chinese Articles . Below is a copy of “Technical Analysis on STI” published on Monday, November 3, 2008. 　　 　本栏于上周一（27日）曾预估指数目前正处“肯跌低”周期，其特性为跌势猛、跌幅大，过后长时间在低位波动。10月28日指数更是一度下挫至 1473.77点，幸好当天以1666.49点闭市，遂成了“一日转向”讯号，上周五（31日）又以1794.20点闭市，也于其每周一杆图中出现“转向 ”讯号，因此，估计短期内当向上回扯，并填补介于1894.87点至1920.79点及介于1991.07点至2059.39点间的缺口，而整个回扯很可能在11月中旬结束，过后指数当重新进入跌势。投资者宜乘此次回扯脱身，正是“三十六着走为上着”。 Most important point – correction might occur mid-November, 2008. On October 25, he wrote “DOW might bottom in 2013” . The rest I cannot figure out what it is talking, 2016 was mentioned. If you understand chinese, remember to follow his articles....

In 2003, we had the Asian SARS which affected Asia, then spread to the rest of the world. Now, we have the American SARS – "Severe American Recession Syndrome” Oops, this term is taken from Daryl Guppy's article posted on CNBC Website. He wrote: "We use the monthly S&P 500 chart to measure the temperature and track the recovery.” It might take 1 -2 years to recover. "Market always fall more rapidly than they rise, simply because you do not need money to be able to lose money. The rebound from the recession target at 800 will be slow because new money is required to fuel a new uptrend. Any rebound from the depression targets will be difficult because the quantum of wealth destruction requires a new generation to develop new wealth before money is available for a new bull market.” Refer to Chart Patterns and Time for chart of S&P 500 and depression targets.