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Saturday, December 5, 2009

US Stock Market Outlook 2010

Studies by experts indicates that the 10-Year Cycle has been the most influential cycle in US stock market trends over the past century.


Statistical pattern of US Stock Market Trends:

  1. US stock market bottoms in a year ended in ‘2’;
  2. Rises to a peak in a year ended in a ‘6’ or ‘7’ ;
  3. Experiences a crisis and slump;
  4. Market rises to another peak in a '9' or '0' ended year;
  5. Followed by another market collapse, with nearly always 2 down waves early in a new decade: DOW plunges to reach a low in the '0' ended year, experiences a major rally then plunges into another low either in '2'/'3' ended years or '3'/'4' ended years.

During the 2000's, the US stock market followed the 10-Year Cycle pattern:
  1. Dow peaked in January 2000
  2. Hit a bear market low in October 10, 2002
  3. Rose to another record peak on October 11, 2007
  4. Serious financial crisis occurred in late 2007, stock market collapsed in 2008 with a major low reached in March 9, 2009;
  5. US stock market has been rising ever since.

So, what would be coming next based on this 10-Year Cycle Pattern?

Will US Stock Market peak soon (or already hit the peak on December 2 2009?), followed by another stock market collapse in 2010? Will another major rally follow before the next market decline into '2'/'3' ended year or '3'/'4' ended year?

What do my Stock Market Time Clocks say?

All these US stock market high and low dates are found in my Stock Market Time Clocks. The Stock Market Time Clocks have been 'ticking' since 1929. Will December 2009 be the peak or will it be in 2010?

Read "Stock Market Outlook 2010 (Part 2)"



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