Saturday, May 30, 2009

Formula Forecast Stock Market Turns - Bingo!

What have I been busy with lately?

Recently, I found two stock market cycle models which accurately identified most market peaks and troughs.

Stock Market Cycle Model – Formula 1

How accurate is this Stock Market Model?

Using some mathematical formula on the DOW Index, it accurately forecasted the following (examples only):
  1. May 2006 peak
  2. October 11, 2007 market top
  3. March 6, 2009 bottom or trough
  4. May 8, 2009 peak (or was it not?)

It seems to be reliable to forecast peaks and troughs but not so reliable to forecast day to day movements. I tested the model's calculation, not always reliable - May 27, 2009 down, May 29, 2009 up. WOW! Correct! Haha, incorrect ones, I no show you lah!

Amazing! I'm still continuing with my research. There is a risk it might not continue to work when made known or after some time. Hmmm... murphy's law!

So, should I "fire" all the other experts, giving me not reliable forecasts so far?

What can the Stock Market Cycle Model - Formula 2 do? Is it even more accurate?

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