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Singapore Stock Market has 14-Year Cycle?

I read the book titled "The Joseph Cycle" by Simon Sim only in 2007. It said that Singapore stock market has a 14-year cycle, ie. 7 bull years and 7 bear years. It said the last bull run started from 2002 and expected to end in 2008, then next 7 bear years will come.

If I understand the market cycle, I can ride the trend and make huge profits. Eg. buy at start of bull run and hold/sell near the end of bull run. Focus on the BIG-PICTURE, get it right and the BIG PROFITS will follow. I can be a long term investor in such a situation.

If the market had turned bearish long term, ie if the next 7 years are going to be a bear market, then it doesn't make sense for me to be a long term investor. I would prefer to wait and buy cheap at the end of the bear market or when the next bull run is confirmed, then become a long term investor. In the meantime, I would prefer to park my funds in other money making investments.

There are also many other cycle theories, such as 60-years, etc. Lookout for my future postings, I'll share more.

(This bull run might have ended earlier than expected. 2008 is not over, so it is too early or not fair to conclude on the book's forecast. Anyway, my opinion is the bear market had started.)

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