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B.E.A.T. The Bear Market – 4D for Success!

B.E.A.T. The Bear Market – 4D Guidelines:

Be aware of Bear Market Mechanisms - Don't Buy at Resistance

Nothing goes straight down. Bear market rallies and technical rebounds might occur during bear markets, before the decline continues. Forecast is this bear market might last 4-7 years or more.

Bear market rallies can be fast and furious. Bear market rallies occur after a temporary bottom is found. After the bear market rally is complete, the decline will continue.

Bull Traps or Bear Market Traps – a false signal indicating a reversal of downtrend, ie. that prices might be heading upwards when in fact prices might continue to decline. I call this technical rebound or dead cat bounce. This might happen due to short covering or traders/institutional investors push prices up so they can sell higher

Support can be broken while resistance holds.

So, Don't buy when ceiling/peak/resistance is broken, it is likely I will be in a losing investment!

Ensure Capital Preservation – Don't Average Down!

Prices will continue to decline in bear markets. Buying more to average down my investment will only increase my losses. Unless time is on my side, I have deep pockets, etc. Still I prefer to put my money in money making investments rather than holding on to paper losses hoping it will break-even or make profit in the next 4-7 years or more!

So, Don't average down your trade/investments. Set profit protection and cut loss at 8-10%. Remember this is a long-term bear market!

Avoid Bull Traps or Bear Market Traps – Don't Chase the Stocks!

Prices might gap up at market open or go up intra day. When prices start to rebound, it could be due to short covering or traders pushing prices up so they can sell higher. Do not be tricked into buying the stock thinking a reversal of trend had occurred.

So, Don't Chase the Stocks when prices have run up. It is likely I will be in a losing investment!

Time to Enter/Exit the Bear Market – Don't Buy Weakness/Cheap!

Cheap can be cheaper in a long-term bear market. Timing is crucial to ensure I am buying at extreme bear market weakness which signals the start of the bear market rally and sell into strength before the bear market rally ends. How can I do that? My Crystal Ball guides me!

So, Don't buy on weakness, unless I can confirm we are in a bear market rally!

B.E.A.T. The Bear Market – My 4D for Success!

In a Bear Market, Technical and Fundamental Analysis is not good enough! What do you think?

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