Sunday, February 28, 2010

March 1 Weekly Update - Stock Market Forecast

March 1 Weekly Update - Stock Market Forecast


Fengshui: Market likely to be weak except March 5.


Financial Astrology: Market likely to be bearish.


Technical Analysis: US markets: Wave 2 up is complete, Wave 3 down should start.

Monday, February 22, 2010

17-Year Stock Market Cycle Part-3

The Past is the Future!


W.D. Gann said: “History repeats itself. The future is but a repetition of the past. Get past history, find out what cycle, then predict the curve for the future.”




As discovered by one “GANN” Expert, the US Market Index Pattern can be forecasted using past history.


Look at the Chart. Can you see the recurring DOW Chart Pattern for the period 1924 to 1937/1939?

Is the DOW Chart Pattern from 1994 to 2009 very similar to this period?


Based on the Kondratieff Wave Theory, we are now in the 4th Kondratieff Winter Period. Can you see the recurring Winter Period Pattern in the DOW Chart?


Wow! This Kwave-Cycle expert forecast DOW 1000 by 2012!

(source: thelongwaveanalyst).


So, now you see: The Past is the Future!


Will this “history” continue to repeat in 2010?


Time will tell!

Sunday, February 21, 2010

February 22 Weekly Update - Stock Market Forecast

February 22 Weekly Update - Stock Market Forecast


Fengshui: Market likely to see strength this week. Feb 24 likely to be volatile.


Financial Astrology: Can bullish planets continue to support the markets?


Technical Analysis: US markets: Revised wave count: When Wave 2 up is complete, Wave 3 down should start.

Saturday, February 20, 2010

CLSA Fengshui Index 2010 PDF

Wow! At last! I managed to get a “hardcopy” of the CLSA Fengshui Index 2010!


Here's the Table of Key Contents:


  1. Hang Seng Performance in 2010

  2. Highlights in Year of Tiger

  3. Detailed Month by Month Forecast

  4. How market performed in past 5 Tigers

  5. Predictions for 12 Zodiacs

  6. Fortune of Famous Faces eg Warren Buffett

  7. Hong Kong Property Guide


You already have the CLSA Fengshui Index 2010 Stock Chart (Item 1), some Highlights (Item 2), Sector Forecast 2010 (eg of Item 20) and Past 5 Tigers' market performance (Item 4).


As it is a “hardcopy”, I plan to include the CLSA Fengshui Monthly Forecast into my Stock Market Monthly Forecast so we can compare it against my Fengshui, Financial Astrology and Technical Forecasts for each month.


Here's key extracts of the CLSA Fengshui Monthly Forecast for February 14 to March 15:


“Get set for plenty of fireworks. A big-Mach rollercoaster ride of a year. Not that a bit of nail-biting and stomach-churning means the month's a writeoff. Far from it; there'll be some fantastic opportunities for those sharp enough to recognise and fast enough to grab them.”



Now you can download your copy of the CLSA Fengshui Index 2010 PDF document here!

Have you read CLSA Fengshui Index 2011?

Thursday, February 18, 2010

CLSA Fengshui Index 2010 Stock Chart

Aha! You have come to the right Blog! Gong Xi Gong Xi!


You have finally found the CLSA Fengshui Index 2010 right here. Look no further as CLSA did not publish the document or PDF this year. Oops, maybe not yet. Or maybe only their clients get it!


But I managed to find the CLSA Fengshui Index 2010 Stock Chart!


A Picture says a Thousand Words!


Yes! It tells all! No need to read the CLSA Fengshui Index 2010 Book any more!


Here's the CLSA Fengshui Index - Stock Chart Forecast for 2010, from February 2010 to January 2011!




And....Sector Forecast 2010!



Note the following:

  1. It is based on the Lunar Calendar. My Fengshui Masters uses the Solar Calendar.

  2. It seems to use some Financial Astrology in its forecast, ie influences of equinoxes and solar/lunar eclipse.


How different is it from my Fengshui Masters Stock Market Forecast 2010?


How different is it from the Financial Astrology Stock Market Forecast 2010?


More Coming Soon! Stay Tuned!


Read more about CLSA Fengshui Index 2010 and where to get a copy


Have you read CLSA Fengshui Index 2011?

Wednesday, February 17, 2010

EWI's Global Markets Forecasts 2010 Free

Once each year or so, our friends at Elliott Wave International do something unheard-of in the world of financial analysis – they give it away for free!

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About the Publisher, Elliott Wave International

Founded in 1979 by Robert R. Prechter Jr., Elliott Wave International (EWI) is the world's largest market forecasting firm. Its staff of full-time analysts provides 24-hour-a-day market analysis to institutional and private investors around the world.


Tuesday, February 16, 2010

February 17 Weekly Update - Stock Market Forecast

February 17 Weekly Update - Stock Market Forecast


Fengshui: Market likely to be weak.


Financial Astrology: Can bullish planets help to support the markets?



Technical Analysis: US markets: Minor Wave 3 down started, when wave 2 up is complete, watch out for Wave 3 of 3 down.

Sunday, February 7, 2010

February 8 Weekly Update - Stock Market Forecast

February 8 Weekly Update - Stock Market Forecast


Fengshui: Market unlikely to perform, Feb 9-11 volatile.


Financial Astrology: Will these planetary alignments be bullish or bearish. Let's watch?



Technical Analysis: US markets: Minor Wave 3 down started. Watch out for Wave 3 of 3.



Friday, February 5, 2010

WD Gann's Secrets Unveiled Part 2

Have you read any of WD Gann's works?


Have you heard of the saying “As Above, So Below”?


Did you managed to decipher what WD Gann is trying to tell us?


Remember what WD Gann said:


“Every movement in the market is the result of a natural law and a Cause which exists long before the Effect takes place and can be determined years in advance."


A Cause. What Cause? It is “As Above, so Below”! It's UP UP UP there!


Above! In Heaven! In the Sky! It's the Planets! Watch the Sky for Trends!


Key Planets have influence on what happens on Earth, the economy, the stock market, etc. Planets have planetary cycles. Their cycles 'determines' the stock market cycles, economic cycles, panic cycles, war cycles.....


Find the correct starting point, and know the cycle which is going to be repeated. Begin right, the right beginning will get the right ending.”


Got it!


I 'tuned' my Stock Market Time Clocks accordingly. And... Bingo! Begin right, will get the right ending!


The Stock Markets dropped, Phase 3 of Bear Market started, around January 21. That date was calculated since 1932. It's part of the 911 panic cycle!


Remember what WD Gann said: “can be determined years in advance”!


Bingo!


(My mum fell down and hurt her spine quite badly. It's almost 2 weeks. I've been attending to her, so have no time to write and put the various outstanding articles together. My research is almost complete and my Stock Market Time Clocks are giving me the right signals so far. So stay tuned!)



CLSA Fengshui Index 2010 Book/PDF

Wow! The CLSA Fengshui Index 2010 Book - Golden Tiger Year is out!


The CLSA Fengshui Index 2009 was pretty accurate. Will the CLSA Fengshui Index 2010 forecast be as accurate?


On February 3, 2010, CLSA Asia-Pacific Markets launches the 16th CLSA Feng Shui Index (‘CLSA FSI’) report with a tongue-in-cheek look at what 2010 holds for equities, commodities, property, celebrities, and the zodiac signs in the months ahead.


The previous year of the Golden Tiger was 1950, a year that saw the Dow Jones Index gain significantly and end the year on a high. However, Tiger-years are typically marked by dramatic changes and even upheaval and 2010, much like the tiger itself, sees an energetic and powerful, but impulsive and risky, year ahead.


Those trading equities should get set to ride the wild tiger. The markets will be volatile with a surge in the first month followed by a decline that turns upwards in June, dips, and then swings up again in September to see the Golden Tiger roar by January 2011.


Looking ahead month-by-month:


February will bring fantastic opportunities for those sharp enough to recognise them and fast enough to grab them.


March signals the start of three bumpy months, but there’ll be no shortage of good trades for those brave enough.


April, the influence of the stars of misfortune is especially disruptive, while the first few weeks of May will be feisty.


June heralds a great month but maybe not the best for betting, although the 21 June summer solstice is especially auspicious and gold may surge.


July is a more relaxed with time to enact long-cherished plans and projects.


August sees the return of volatility and precious metals look set to break upwards, especially gold, silver and copper. I


September, the trend is upwards and a mixture of considered and idle speculations offers the possibility of eye-popping returns.


October is possibly one of the best months of the year, with life returning to the markets. It marks the return of a sustained drive upwards that continues into November, December and January. Each of the last three months features an auspicious date; 17 November, 8 December, 16 January.


Read more in CLSA Fengshui Index 2010 Stock Chart! and where to get a copy

Read more about CLSA Fengshui Index 2010 PDF and where to get a copy



Thursday, February 4, 2010

Shanghai Composite Long Term Uptrend Ended


Daryl Guppy wrote a long analysis on Shanghai Composite (China) on Feb 3 2010. Key points to note:

  • Global markets have a common emerging feature. The degree of correction is now large enough that it cannot be dismissed as a temporary trend weakness.

  • The Shanghai market continues to show leadership in terms of market behaviour. The behaviour is around 10 weeks ahead of the similar behaviour in US markets.

  • The degree of the move in the Shanghai market is in the order of three times the move in the US market. So a 15% fall in the Shanghai index is mirrored by a 5% fall in the DOW.

  • There is a genuine concern that the test of the 3000 support area is a prelude to a broader fall in the market. The first important change was the move below the long term uptrend line 1. This index movement confirmed that the long term uptrend has ended.


  • The uptrend line 1 will now act as a new resistance level for any index rally. This development shows the market has stopped up trending and it is now moving into a different behaviour pattern.

  • Good historical support level between 2910 and 3000 and near 2600 to 2650. A fall below 2910 has weak support near 2750. The strongest support is 2600 to 2650. The market can reach this level by two methods:

  1. The first method is a continued downtrend fast fall to this level. This is very bearish. This fall would give a strong test to the support level. A fast fall to support could easily fall below the support level because it has strong downwards momentum.

  2. The second method is shown with a down sloping trading channel. The upper edge of the channel is trend line A. The lower edge is trend line B. The market will soon prove if this trend channel analysis is correct if the market continues to use trend line B as a support level. In this market condition the market will continue to move more slowly towards the support level between 2600 to 2650. When the market reaches this level there is a higher probability the market will not fall below the support level.

  • The key features for the next few days is the behaviour of the index near the 2950 to 3000 support level, or if the index moves below this level and uses trend line B as the new support level. This will show if the market will move in a sideways trading band or if the market will move in a down sloping trading channel pattern.

  • The Shanghai market is quickly reflecting the concerns of Chinese investors. These concerns are also rippling through regional markets with tests of historical support levels. This is a time for protecting profits.

February 2010 Stock Market Forecast

February 4 to March 5, 2010


This is the Yang Earth Tiger Month. First half likely to be weak, likely to see strength second half.



Favourable industries/sectors: Wood and Earth



Financial Astrology:


First half likely to be weak, second half likely to be positive.

Watch these dates:


February 14 – New Moon, Chinese New Year


February 28 – Full Moon




Technical Analysis:


US Market: Phase 3 of Bear Market, Wave 1 started. Minor Wave 1 completed, wave 2 up in progress, next is Wave 3 down. There is a potential Head and Shoulder pattern in the S&P 500. Watch out!

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(Hmm... do you know why we need to know the direction of the Forex Market? And which Forex is important? More coming soon from S.M.A.R.T. Investing with TSK!)



About the Publisher, Elliott Wave International

Founded in 1979 by Robert R. Prechter Jr., Elliott Wave International (EWI) is the world's largest market forecasting firm. Its staff of full-time analysts provides 24-hour-a-day market analysis to institutional and private investors around the world.

Tuesday, February 2, 2010

Asia Stock Market Rally is Over!

Have you read EWI's February 2010 Asian-Pacific Financial Forecast Report?


Extracts from Bloomberg (February 1 2010):


Asian stocks may decline for months after forming a “top” that signals the end of a 10-month rally, according to Elliott Wave International Inc.


Benchmark indexes across the region have completed either three- or five-wave patterns showing that their gains are over according to EWI's February Asian-Pacific Financial Forecast Report. The rally’s duration and divergence in both momentum and sentiment also signal a downturn, it said.


With the MSCI Asia-Pacific Index having just broken below an important uptrend line. Elliott Wave International said. “It’s time to turn bearish.”


Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index, Singapore’s Straits Times Index, the Shanghai Composite Index and the Nikkei 225 Stock Average of Japan completed three-wave cycles. Australia, South Korea, Taiwan and India completed five-leg formations in January.


The 311 days it took to reach last month’s high from the March low is 62.8 percent of the index’s 495-day decline between 2007 and 2009, Elliott Wave International said. That’s just five days more than the time taken for a 61.8 percent Fibonacci retracement.


Meanwhile, the index’s relative strength index, an indicator of momentum, peaked in January at a lower level than that set earlier in the rally, while the Nikkei 225 Daily Sentiment Index also reached a high that was lower than previous levels seen during the advance.


“Excessive bullishness is in fact bearish from a contrarian perspective, and sentiment divergences, like momentum divergences, are common at tops”, according to the report.


George Lindsay Long Cycle: DJIA 20 Year Cycle

I just found and read an article which Ed Carlson wrote in 2014 about George Lindsay's Long Cycle, see extracts below: If point A = ...