Tuesday, January 6, 2009

8.6 Year Global Business Cycle

I've been reading about this 8.6 year Global Business Cycle or Princeton Economic Confidence Model. Took me some time to understand but still dun understand.

Aiyah, I won't bother about the details or history. The most important thing are the dates which I managed to find the answers now.

Based on the 8.6 year cycle, with a 2.15 year interval (see diagram), this model predicts the future highs and lows in the stock market. From now, the future highs and lows are:

2009.3 = April 23, 2009 (High)
2011.45 = June 18, 2011 ( Low)
2013.6 = Dec 8, 2013 (High)
2015.75 = July 10, 2015 (High)
2017.9 = Jan 12, 2017 (High)

Take note of April 23, 2009!
But the high might be earlier than predicted.

See my previous article
S&P500 / Dow / STI Charts for 1Q2009!

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